Bonn, A. & Schröder, B. (2001): Ecography 24(4): 483-496.
Abstract: Environmental factors
influencing the occurrence of single species and multi species groups of
carabids in alluvial forest at the River Elbe were determined with habitat
suitability models. Two representative species for different ecotypes present
in the investigated community, Agonum livens and Pterostichus
oblongopunctatus, were defined by means of a discriminant analysis.
The two species differed greatly in their microhabitat distribution. A.
livens was chosen as target species for a multi species group of wetland
species that inhabited the fringes of temporary waters in the forest. In
contrast, P. oblongopunctatus should represent species of deciduous
forests. Using stepwise multiple logistic regression statistically significant
habitat suitability models were estimated, reliably predicting the species’
occurrence. A subsequent evaluation by cross-validations and receiver operating
characteristic (ROC) curves indicated a high discriminatory power. A transfer
of the model onto different data sets in time was applied to validate the
model. Alternatively, a multi species habitat model, taking into account
weighted occurrence data of the wetland species group, was estimated. In
order to show that the chosen target species truly holds an umbrella effect
upon the represented multi species group, we used ROC curves to indicate
the transferability of the target species' habitat model for the multi
species group and vice versa.